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Geospatial and Optimized SVM-Based Landslide Susceptibility Zonation of South District of Sikkim, India
Corresponding Author(s) : Saurabh Kumar Anuragi
Geomatics and Environmental Engineering,
Vol. 19 No. 3 (2025): Geomatics and Environmental Engineering
Abstract
Landslide identification and susceptibility maps play vital roles in supporting planners and decision-makers who manage disaster risks. By providing accurate information, these maps significantly contribute to minimizing the potential losses of life and property. To create effective landslide-susceptibility models, it is essential to incorporate a combination of terrain characteristics and meteorological factors, thus enhancing our understanding and preparedness for such events. This study presents a comparative analysis of three kernel functions (linear, polynomial, and RBF) of an support vector classifier (SVC) accompanied by a grid-search in order to determine optimal hyper-parameter settings. The primary objective of this methodological framework is to ensure accurate and reliable predictions for the generation of landslide-susceptibility maps in the South District of Sikkim, India. In this investigation, 14 conditioning factors were considered, including aspect, distance to streams, distance to roads, drainage density, elevation, lithology, land use/land cover (LULC), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), plan curvature, profile curvature, rainfall, slope, soil type, and earthquake susceptibility. The performances of the models were evaluated using a range of metrics, including the training score, testing score, kappa, sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC). Optimal hyper-parameter tuning for each SVC kernel was conducted through a grid-search approach. The results indicated that the SVC_poly and SVC_rbf models surpassed the linear model, achieving accuracy and AUC values of 0.907 and 0.908, respectively, in developing susceptibility maps. Consequently, both the SVC_poly and SVC_rbf models were identified as the most reliable and effective tools for landslide-susceptibility mapping in this study, making them optimal choices for predictive analyses in this domain.
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- Kjekstad O., Highland L.: Economic and social impacts of landslides, [in:] Sassa K., Canuti P. (eds.), Landslides – Disaster Risk Reduction, Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 573–587. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69970-5_30.
- Tien Bui D., Tuan T.A., Klempe H., Pradhan B., Revhaug I.: Spatial prediction models for shallow landslide hazards: A comparative assessment of the efficacy of support vector machines, artificial neural networks, kernel logistic regression, and logistic model tree. Landslides, vol. 13(2), 2016, pp. 361–378. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0557-6.
- Gerrard J.: The landslide hazard in the Himalayas: Geological control and human action, [in:] Morisawa M. (ed.), Geomorphology and Natural Hazards, Proceedings of the 25th Binghamton Symposium in Geomorphology, Held September 24–25, 1994 at SUNY, Binghamton, USA, Elsevier, 1994, pp. 221–230. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-82012-9.50019-0.
- Bera A., Mukhopadhyay B.P., Das D.: Landslide hazard zonation mapping using multi-criteria analysis with the help of GIS techniques: A case study from Eastern Himalayas, Namchi, South Sikkim. Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), 2019, pp. 935–959. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03580-w.
- Wang Y., Sun D., Wen H., Zhang H., Zhang F.: Comparison of random forest model and frequency ratio model for landslide-susceptibility mapping (LSM) in Yunyang County (Chongqing, China). International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 17(12), 2020, 4206. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17124206.
- Vakhshoori V., Zare M.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping by comparing weight of evidence, fuzzy logic, and frequency ratio methods. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, vol. 7(5), 2016, pp. 1731–1752. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1144655.
- Ozdemir A., Altural T.: A comparative study of frequency ratio, weights of evidence and logistic regression methods for landslide-susceptibility mapping: Sultan Mountains, SW Turkey. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 64, 2013, pp. 180–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2012.12.014.
- Wu C.H.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping by using landslide ratio-based logistic regression: A case study in the southern Taiwan. Journal of Mountain Science, vol. 12(3), 2015, pp. 721–736. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-014-3416-3.
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- Rasyid A.R., Bhandary N.P., Yatabe R.: Performance of frequency ratio and logistic regression model in creating GIS based landslides susceptibility map at Lompobattang Mountain, Indonesia. Geoenvironmental Disasters, vol. 3, 2016, 19. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-016-0053-x.
- Cervi F., Berti M., Borgatti L., Ronchetti F., Manenti F., Corsini A.: Comparing predictive capability of statistical and deterministic methods for landslidesusceptibility mapping: a case study in the northern Apennines (Reggio Emilia Province, Italy). Landslides, vol. 7(4), 2010, pp. 433–444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-010-0207-y.
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- Arabameri A., Rezaei K., Pourghasemi H.R., Lee S., Yamani M.: GIS-based gully erosion susceptibility mapping: A comparison among three data-driven models and AHP knowledge-based technique. Environmental Earth Sciences, vol. 77(17), 2018, 628. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7808-5.
- Khatun M., Hossain A.S., Sayem H.M., Moniruzzaman M., Ahmed Z., Rahaman K.R.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping using weighted-overlay approach in Rangamati, Bangladesh. Earth Systems and Environment, vol. 7(1), 2023, pp. 223–235. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-022-00312-2.
- Bopche L., Rege P.P.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping: An integrated approach using geographic information value, remote sensing, and weight of evidence method. Geotechnical and Geological Engineering, vol. 40(6), 2022, pp. 2935–2947. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-022-02070-4.
- Pal S.C., Chowdhuri I.: GIS-based spatial prediction of landslide-susceptibility using frequency ratio model of Lachung River basin, North Sikkim, India. SN Applied Sciences, vol. 1(5), 2019, 416. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-019-0422-7.
- Wang L.J., Guo M., Sawada K., Lin J., Zhang J.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping in Mizunami City, Japan: A comparison between logistic regression, bivariate statistical analysis and multivariate adaptive regression spline models. Catena, vol. 135, 2015, pp. 271–282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.08.007.
- Chen W., Xie X., Wang J., Pradhan B., Hong H., Bui D.T., Duan Z., Ma J.: A comparative study of logistic model tree, random forest, and classification and regression tree models for spatial prediction of landslide-susceptibility. Catena, vol. 151, 2017, pp. 147–160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2016.11.032.
- Pourghasemi H.R., Pradhan B., Gokceoglu C.: Application of fuzzy logic and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to landslide-susceptibility mapping at Haraz watershed, Iran. Natural Hazards, vol. 63, 2012, pp. 965–996. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0217-2.
- Felicísimo Á.M., Cuartero A., Remondo J., Quirós E.: Mapping landslide-susceptibility with logistic regression, multiple adaptive regression splines, classification and regression trees, and maximum entropy methods: a comparative study. Landslides, vol.10, 2013, pp. 175–189. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-012-0320-1.
- Hong H., Pradhan B., Xu C., Bui D.T.: Spatial prediction of landslide hazard at the Yihuang area (China) using two-class kernel logistic regression, alternating decision tree and support vector machines. Catena, vol. 133, 2015, pp. 266–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.05.019.
- Colkesen I., Sahin E.K., Kavzoglu T.: Susceptibility mapping of shallow landslides using kernel-based Gaussian process, support vector machines and logistic regression. Journal of African Earth Sciences, vol. 118, 2016, pp. 53–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2016.02.019.
- Wang Y., Fang Z., Wang M., Peng L., Hong H.: Comparative study of landslide-susceptibility mapping with different recurrent neural networks. Computers & Geosciences, vol. 138, 2020, 104445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2020.104445.
- Wang Y., Fang Z., Hong H.: Comparison of convolutional neural networks for landslide-susceptibility mapping in Yanshan County, China. Science of the Total Environment, vol. 666, 2019, pp. 975–993. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.263.
- Lee S., Ryu J.H., Lee M.J., Won J.S.: The application of artificial neural networks to landslide-susceptibility mapping at Janghung, Korea. Mathematical Geology, vol. 38, 2006, pp. 199–220. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11004-005-9012-x.
- Tsangaratos P., Benardos A.: Estimating landslide-susceptibility through an artificial neural network classifier. Natural Hazards, vol. 74, 2014, pp. 1489–1516. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1245-x.
- Lee S., Ryu J.H., Won J.S., Park H.J.: Determination and application of the weights for landslide-susceptibility mapping using an artificial neural network. Engineering Geology, vol. 71(3–4), 2004, pp. 289–302. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0013-7952(03)00142-X.
- Cortes C., Vapnik V.: Support-vector networks. Machine Learning, vol. 20, 1995, pp. 273–297. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00994018.
- Boser B.E., Guyon I.M., Vapnik V.N.: A training algorithm for optimal margin classifiers, [in:] COLT ’92: Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Workshop on Computational Learning Theory, Association for Computing Machinery, New York 1992, pp. 144–152. https://doi.org/10.1145/130385.130401.
References
Kjekstad O., Highland L.: Economic and social impacts of landslides, [in:] Sassa K., Canuti P. (eds.), Landslides – Disaster Risk Reduction, Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg, pp. 573–587. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-69970-5_30.
Tien Bui D., Tuan T.A., Klempe H., Pradhan B., Revhaug I.: Spatial prediction models for shallow landslide hazards: A comparative assessment of the efficacy of support vector machines, artificial neural networks, kernel logistic regression, and logistic model tree. Landslides, vol. 13(2), 2016, pp. 361–378. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0557-6.
Gerrard J.: The landslide hazard in the Himalayas: Geological control and human action, [in:] Morisawa M. (ed.), Geomorphology and Natural Hazards, Proceedings of the 25th Binghamton Symposium in Geomorphology, Held September 24–25, 1994 at SUNY, Binghamton, USA, Elsevier, 1994, pp. 221–230. https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-444-82012-9.50019-0.
Bera A., Mukhopadhyay B.P., Das D.: Landslide hazard zonation mapping using multi-criteria analysis with the help of GIS techniques: A case study from Eastern Himalayas, Namchi, South Sikkim. Natural Hazards, vol. 96(2), 2019, pp. 935–959. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03580-w.
Wang Y., Sun D., Wen H., Zhang H., Zhang F.: Comparison of random forest model and frequency ratio model for landslide-susceptibility mapping (LSM) in Yunyang County (Chongqing, China). International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, vol. 17(12), 2020, 4206. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17124206.
Vakhshoori V., Zare M.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping by comparing weight of evidence, fuzzy logic, and frequency ratio methods. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, vol. 7(5), 2016, pp. 1731–1752. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2016.1144655.
Ozdemir A., Altural T.: A comparative study of frequency ratio, weights of evidence and logistic regression methods for landslide-susceptibility mapping: Sultan Mountains, SW Turkey. Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, vol. 64, 2013, pp. 180–197. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jseaes.2012.12.014.
Wu C.H.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping by using landslide ratio-based logistic regression: A case study in the southern Taiwan. Journal of Mountain Science, vol. 12(3), 2015, pp. 721–736. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-014-3416-3.
Althuwaynee O.F., Pradhan B., Ahmad N.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping using decision-tree based CHi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) and logistic regression (LR) integration. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, vol. 20(1), 2014, 012032. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/20/1/012032.
Rasyid A.R., Bhandary N.P., Yatabe R.: Performance of frequency ratio and logistic regression model in creating GIS based landslides susceptibility map at Lompobattang Mountain, Indonesia. Geoenvironmental Disasters, vol. 3, 2016, 19. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-016-0053-x.
Cervi F., Berti M., Borgatti L., Ronchetti F., Manenti F., Corsini A.: Comparing predictive capability of statistical and deterministic methods for landslidesusceptibility mapping: a case study in the northern Apennines (Reggio Emilia Province, Italy). Landslides, vol. 7(4), 2010, pp. 433–444. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-010-0207-y.
Tang R.X., Yan E.C., Wen T., Yin X.M., Tang W.: Comparison of logistic regression, information value, and comprehensive evaluating model for landslide-susceptibility mapping. Sustainability, vol. 13(7), 2021, 3803. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13073803.
Arabameri A., Rezaei K., Pourghasemi H.R., Lee S., Yamani M.: GIS-based gully erosion susceptibility mapping: A comparison among three data-driven models and AHP knowledge-based technique. Environmental Earth Sciences, vol. 77(17), 2018, 628. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-018-7808-5.
Khatun M., Hossain A.S., Sayem H.M., Moniruzzaman M., Ahmed Z., Rahaman K.R.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping using weighted-overlay approach in Rangamati, Bangladesh. Earth Systems and Environment, vol. 7(1), 2023, pp. 223–235. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-022-00312-2.
Bopche L., Rege P.P.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping: An integrated approach using geographic information value, remote sensing, and weight of evidence method. Geotechnical and Geological Engineering, vol. 40(6), 2022, pp. 2935–2947. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10706-022-02070-4.
Pal S.C., Chowdhuri I.: GIS-based spatial prediction of landslide-susceptibility using frequency ratio model of Lachung River basin, North Sikkim, India. SN Applied Sciences, vol. 1(5), 2019, 416. https://doi.org/10.1007/s42452-019-0422-7.
Wang L.J., Guo M., Sawada K., Lin J., Zhang J.: Landslide-susceptibility mapping in Mizunami City, Japan: A comparison between logistic regression, bivariate statistical analysis and multivariate adaptive regression spline models. Catena, vol. 135, 2015, pp. 271–282. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.08.007.
Chen W., Xie X., Wang J., Pradhan B., Hong H., Bui D.T., Duan Z., Ma J.: A comparative study of logistic model tree, random forest, and classification and regression tree models for spatial prediction of landslide-susceptibility. Catena, vol. 151, 2017, pp. 147–160. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2016.11.032.
Pourghasemi H.R., Pradhan B., Gokceoglu C.: Application of fuzzy logic and analytical hierarchy process (AHP) to landslide-susceptibility mapping at Haraz watershed, Iran. Natural Hazards, vol. 63, 2012, pp. 965–996. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0217-2.
Felicísimo Á.M., Cuartero A., Remondo J., Quirós E.: Mapping landslide-susceptibility with logistic regression, multiple adaptive regression splines, classification and regression trees, and maximum entropy methods: a comparative study. Landslides, vol.10, 2013, pp. 175–189. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-012-0320-1.
Hong H., Pradhan B., Xu C., Bui D.T.: Spatial prediction of landslide hazard at the Yihuang area (China) using two-class kernel logistic regression, alternating decision tree and support vector machines. Catena, vol. 133, 2015, pp. 266–281. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2015.05.019.
Colkesen I., Sahin E.K., Kavzoglu T.: Susceptibility mapping of shallow landslides using kernel-based Gaussian process, support vector machines and logistic regression. Journal of African Earth Sciences, vol. 118, 2016, pp. 53–64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafrearsci.2016.02.019.
Wang Y., Fang Z., Wang M., Peng L., Hong H.: Comparative study of landslide-susceptibility mapping with different recurrent neural networks. Computers & Geosciences, vol. 138, 2020, 104445. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2020.104445.
Wang Y., Fang Z., Hong H.: Comparison of convolutional neural networks for landslide-susceptibility mapping in Yanshan County, China. Science of the Total Environment, vol. 666, 2019, pp. 975–993. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.263.
Lee S., Ryu J.H., Lee M.J., Won J.S.: The application of artificial neural networks to landslide-susceptibility mapping at Janghung, Korea. Mathematical Geology, vol. 38, 2006, pp. 199–220. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11004-005-9012-x.
Tsangaratos P., Benardos A.: Estimating landslide-susceptibility through an artificial neural network classifier. Natural Hazards, vol. 74, 2014, pp. 1489–1516. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-014-1245-x.
Lee S., Ryu J.H., Won J.S., Park H.J.: Determination and application of the weights for landslide-susceptibility mapping using an artificial neural network. Engineering Geology, vol. 71(3–4), 2004, pp. 289–302. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0013-7952(03)00142-X.
Cortes C., Vapnik V.: Support-vector networks. Machine Learning, vol. 20, 1995, pp. 273–297. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00994018.
Boser B.E., Guyon I.M., Vapnik V.N.: A training algorithm for optimal margin classifiers, [in:] COLT ’92: Proceedings of the Fifth Annual Workshop on Computational Learning Theory, Association for Computing Machinery, New York 1992, pp. 144–152. https://doi.org/10.1145/130385.130401.